Key takeaways

  • The current annual inflation rate is 2.7%, still above the Fed’s 2% target.
  • Consumers pay more close attention to cumulative inflation, and prices are 24.3% more expensive today than they were before the coronavirus pandemic recession began in February 2020.
  • The Federal Reserve cut interest rates a full percentage point across three consecutive meetings in 2024, but officials are taking a more cautious approach in 2025 as price pressures stay sticky and President Donald Trump’s tariff policies lift inflation.

Inflation didn’t improve last month, suggesting that businesses may be starting to pass along higher costs from tariffs onto the prices that you see on store shelves.

Consumer prices rose 0.2 percent between June and July, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)’ latest monthly consumer price index (CPI) report. Excluding food and energy, a measure of “core” or “underlying” inflation rose 0.3 percent, the most since January. Many items currently exposed to tariffs — from coffee and tomatoes to toys, sporting equipment, household furnishings and apparel — continued to climb. Used cars and trucks rose the most since September 2022.

More price hikes could also still be coming down the pipeline, after higher tariff rates from key U.S. trading partners took effect earlier this month.

The majority of economists (41 percent) expect inflation to stay elevated through 2027, primarily driven by higher import taxes, according to Bankrate’s latest Economic Indicator Survey. Meanwhile, Fed officials have said that uncertainty over how tariffs could impact inflation is the main reason rate cuts are on hold.

This could be the calm before the storm. This CPI measures inflation in July, but a slew of tariffs are taking effect this month. It may take a few months before those costs make their way fully to the consumer, but inflation is poised to pick up further in the remainder of 2025.

— Greg McBride, CFA, Bankrate chief financial analyst

A little bit of inflation is good for consumers. The economy keeps growing and businesses continue expanding, hiring workers and bumping up their pay along the way. Too much inflation, however, feels akin to taking a pay cut. High inflation has consequences beyond just affordability, complicating saving for emergencies or investing for retirement.

Since the pandemic, consumer prices are 24.3 percent more expensive, a Bankrate analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows. That price burst means Americans need about $1,243 to buy the same goods and services that cost $1,000 when the coronavirus-induced recession occurred.

Looking for the latest information on consumer prices? Here’s a round-up of where inflation is improving — and where it’s still remaining stubborn.

Highlights of the latest statistics on inflation

What is the current inflation rate?

Over the past 12 months, prices have risen 2.7 percent from a year ago, the BLS’ CPI report showed. Excluding food and energy, core” prices rose 3.1 percent annually.

Inflation is well below where it peaked in the summer of 2022. Yet, the figures reflect bumpier progress on inflation’s path back to the Fed’s 2 percent target. Inflation was staying stubbornly above the Fed’s goalpost even before President Donald Trump lifted tariffs to the highest since the Great Depression.

Prices that are rising the most

Of the nearly 400 items that BLS tracks, roughly 3 out of every 4 items (or 76 percent) increased in price between July 2024 and July 2025. One in 4 (or 25 percent) were cheaper in July than they were a year ago.

According to BLS, these are the prices that increased most over the past year:

Item July 2024-July 2025 increase
Eggs 16.4%
Roasted coffee 14.8%
Instant coffee* 14.3%
Utility (piped) gas service 13.8%
College textbooks* 12.9%
Uncooked beef steaks 12.4%
Audio equipment 12.4%
Other condiments 12.1%
Uncooked ground beef 11.5%
Beef and veal 11.3%
*Denotes an item that isn’t seasonally adjusted

Month-over-month price changes, however, can give consumers a more real-time look at the prices that have recently been popping. Lower prices in the same year-ago period, for example, can cause an item to look like it’s gaining speed, when it’s slowing in reality.

Case in point: Utility piped gas services prices were cheaper in July than they were in June, even though they’re still up 13.8 percent from a year ago.

Consumers, however, should take seasonal variations into account. Back-to-school or tax season, for instance, can often contribute to higher prices on items like tax return preparation services or college textbooks. BLS doesn’t seasonally adjust all of its items, and year-over-year inflation rates can better smooth out those variations.

According to BLS, these are the prices that increased most over the past month:

Item June 2025-July 2025 increase
Frozen noncarbonated juices and drinks* 5.3%
Other motor fuels 4.5%
Cookies 4.2%
Airline fares 4%
Lettuce 4%
Ham, excluding canned 3.9%
Tax return preparation and other accounting fees 3.5%
Infants’ and toddler’s apparel 3.3%
Tomatoes 3.3%
Public transportation 3%

Why is inflation still hot right now?

Consumers might notice just how much more expensive egg prices are from a year ago and wonder why the overall inflation rate is just 2.7 percent. To put it simply, the Bureau of Labor Statistics assigns weights to each individual good or service it tracks, based on how prevalent it’s considered to be in a consumer’s monthly budget.

Over the past year:

  • Shelter has accounted for roughly half (or 48 percent) of the increase in inflation;
  • Food has accounted for 14 percent of inflation; and
  • Car insurance has accounted for 6 percent of inflation.

Yet, in a sign that tariffs are contributing to the recent increase in inflation, core goods prices (excluding food and energy) accounted for one-fifth (or 20 percent) of overall inflation between June and July.

The drivers of inflation have changed dramatically since the initial post-pandemic price burst. When price pressures peaked in June 2022, shelter contributed to just 20 percent of the annual increase in prices. But as consumers emerged from lockdowns with massive pent-up demand at the same time as global supply shortages, goods prices were driving the majority of price pressures, accounting for more than half (58 percent) of inflation between June 2021 and 2022. Energy was also responsible for about a third (32 percent) of inflation.

To combat inflation, officials on the Federal Reserve lifted borrowing costs from a rock-bottom level of near-zero percent to a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5 percent. Now, borrowing costs are in a target range of 4.25-4.5 percent.

Post-pandemic inflation: What’s risen the most and what’s gotten cheaper

Of the nearly 400 items BLS tracks, just 28 (or roughly 7 percent) are cheaper today than they were pre-pandemic.

To be sure, prices are expected to rise in the healthiest of economies — though only gradually, at a goalpost of around 2 percent a year.

According to BLS, these are the top 10 items that have jumped the most in price since the pandemic:

Item February 2020-July 2025 increase
Eggs 86.5%
Frozen noncarbonated juices and drinks* 62.7%
Motor vehicle repair 58.4%
Motor vehicle insurance 56.6%
Margarine 56.6%
Utility (piped) gas service 54%
Uncooked beef roasts 53.2%
Uncooked other beef and veal* 52%
Uncooked beef steaks 48%
Beef and veal 47.8%
*Denotes an item that isn’t seasonally adjusted

Meanwhile, the items that have dropped in price the most since the pandemic are primarily goods and electronics — largely thanks to improving supply chains.

Item February 2020-July 2025 decrease
Smartphones* -60%
Telephone hardware, calculators, and other consumer information items -50.4%
Televisions -30.1%
Information technology commodities -27.5%
Education and communication commodities -23.6%
Computer software and accessories* -14.7%
Health insurance* -14.6%
Video and audio products -11.9%
Other video equipment -11.2%
Dishes and flatware -11.1%

Inflation breakdown by product category

Looking for an easy analysis of how inflation is impacting the key items in your budget? Here’s what Bankrate found.

The different methods of measuring inflation: PCE versus CPI

Fed policymakers look at the full picture of economic data when setting interest rates. But officially, they prefer a different measure to see whether they’re succeeding at controlling inflation: the Department of Commerce’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index.

Lately, the PCE index has been indicating slower inflation, with overall prices now half a percentage point above the Fed’s target (2.6 percent as of June 2025, versus 2.7 percent in the same month for CPI). Excluding food and energy, “core” prices in June are up 2.8 percent from a year ago versus 2.9 percent in BLS’ gauge that month.

Those variations have always been afoot. Mainly, they’re because of methodology differences. For starters, PCE takes consumers’ substitutions into account (for example, one family’s decision to buy fish over meat for one month because it’s cheaper).

But another key difference is to blame lately. Both agencies estimate an item’s relative importance differently, with BLS’ gauge giving the most weight to the category of inflation that’s coincidentally been the hottest: shelter.

For Fed officials, the story remains largely the same: Inflation has majorly improved since peaking at a 40-year high back in 2022 but is still stubborn.

Takeaways for consumers

Slowing inflation in 2024 gave the Fed room to cut interest rates and consumers a chance to recover some of the purchasing power that they lost. Even so, prices are still higher today than they would’ve been had the pandemic not occurred, and the Fed remains worried that tariffs could reignite inflation.

  • So long as inflation stays high, so will the borrowing costs you pay: The U.S. central bank’s key benchmark interest rate is still higher than at any point since the Great Recession — keeping borrowing costs elevated on the products consumers pay, from credit cards and auto loans to home equity lines of credit (HELOCs).
  • Comparison shop as much as you can: Consumers know to compare offers from multiple lenders before locking in a loan. Why not the same for the items you buy on a regular basis? Compare prices at multiple retailers, see if any stores offer price match and craft a budget. If a product or ingredient pushes your spending goal over the edge, consider swapping it out for something else.
  • Use the personal finance tools at your disposal: Finding the right credit card that helps you earn rewards on the purchases you were already going to make can be another way to pad up your wallet. Just be sure you’re not carrying a balance. A 20 percent interest rate will never outweigh the cash back.
  • Save for emergencies and find the right account: Historically, investing in the stock market has been the best way to beat inflation over time, but higher rates mean savers can find a market-like return without any of the risk. Deposit rates have already fallen after the Fed’s rate cuts, but returns on high-yielding accounts are still beating inflation. Stash your cash in a high-yield account or add a certificate of deposit (CD) to your portfolio, so you can lock in these elevated yields for the long haul.

See how all items BLS regularly tracks have changed over time

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